Allan Lichtman reflects on miscalculation in 2024 election prediction

Allan Lichtman, a historian known for accurately predicting presidential elections, miscalculated the 2024 race. His "13 Keys" model forecasted a narrow victory for Vice President Kamala Harris, but Donald Trump won, marking a surprising comeback. Lichtman expressed disbelief at Trump's victory, especially after Pennsylvania's results sealed Harris's defeat. He acknowledged that "the math doesn't work" and plans to analyze his prediction errors in an upcoming broadcast. Despite this setback, Lichtman remains respected for his past analyses. He will reevaluate his prediction model to understand the factors that led to this unexpected outcome.