Escalating tensions in South China Sea raise fears of military conflict

Summary: Tensions in the South China Sea have escalated, with recent confrontations between China and the Philippines raising concerns about potential military conflict. Experts warn that incidents could lead to a U.S.-China war, particularly if U.S. vessels are involved.

China's assertive claims over the South China Sea, which includes vital trade routes, have intensified disputes with several Southeast Asian nations. The region is crucial for global trade, with about 24% of maritime trade passing through it in 2023.

Despite a 2016 ruling against China's claims by an international court, diplomatic efforts have stalled. Experts note that while the risk of conflict is significant, economic considerations may deter full-scale war, as all parties prefer to maintain stability in the region.

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