Experts warn of recession risks in 2025

Recent data shows increasing concerns about a potential recession in 2025, with prediction markets placing the odds at 40%. This marks a significant rise of nearly 20 percentage points in less than a month. Trade tensions and policy uncertainty are contributing to fears, but some indicators remain stable. Consumer spending, which makes up about 70% of the economy, has not yet declined, although consumer confidence has dropped by 10.5% this month. Other metrics, such as interest rates and employment signals, suggest a mixed economic outlook. While some indicators point to recession risks, the labor market remains resilient, and experts continue to monitor various factors for clearer signs.