Far right leads in France's snap election, Macron falls

Financial Times June 30, 2024, 07:00 PM UTC

Summary: In the first round of France's snap election, Marine Le Pen's far-right party won 34% of the vote, surpassing President Macron's centrist alliance at 20.3%. The leftwing alliance came in second with 28.1%. The Rassemblement National is on track to potentially win the most seats in the National Assembly, possibly leading to a nationalist government. Macron faces the possibility of a "cohabitation" scenario if RN secures 289 seats.

Full article

Article metrics

The article metrics are deprecated.

I'm replacing the original 8-factor scoring system with a new and improved one. It doesn't use the original factors and gives much better significance scores.

Timeline:

  1. [2.4]
    Macron's party wins parliamentary president role despite voter rebuke (CNN)
    51d 2h
    Source
  2. [2.0]
    Macron ally re-elected as National Assembly speaker in France (the Guardian)
    51d 4h
    Source
  3. [5.4]
    France faces political chaos post-election with no clear winner (The Guardian)
    56d 11h

  4. [4.2]
    Macron calls for coalition after France's election results (CNBC)
    58d 14h
    Source
  5. [3.9]
    French election results: No party secures majority in National Assembly (POLITICO Europe)
    59d 5h
    Source
  6. [3.6]
    Macron seeks 'governing pact' in French parliament after elections (Financial Times)
    59d 6h
    Source
  7. [4.0]
    Macron urges coalition formation, excludes far-right and radical left (The Guardian)
    59d 8h
    Source
  8. [3.9]
    Macron disputes French election results, NFP alliance seeks recognition (POLITICO Europe)
    59d 9h
    Source
  9. [4.6]
    French government at risk of no-confidence due to deadlock (The Guardian)
    60d 7h
    Source
  10. [4.3]
    Macron asks PM Attal to stay amid post-election instability (The Independent)
    60d 15h
    Source
  11. [4.5]
    French election gridlock adds uncertainty for Europe, Macron's influence at risk (POLITICO Europe)
    60d 19h
    Source
  12. [4.7]
    French voters keep far right out, face hung parliament (CNN)
    60d 21h
    Source
  13. [3.5]
    Macron faces challenge appointing left-wing prime minister (News18)
    60d 22h
    Source
  14. [5.2]
    France and Britain swap roles amid global challenges (Financial Times)
    60d 23h

  15. [6.9]
    Macron rejects Attal's resignation amid chaotic election results (The Associated Press)
    61d 10h

  16. [5.0]
    French political turmoil may deter investors, affecting markets (Financial Times)
    61d 10h

  17. [4.1]
    New Popular Front wins France's election with left-green alliance (The Guardian)
    61d 13h
    Source
  18. [4.3]
    Hard-left New Popular Front humiliates Macron in France election (Express)
    61d 16h
    Source
  19. [4.9]
    Political turmoil in France, riots in Paris before Olympics (Hindustan Times)
    61d 20h
    Source
  20. [4.8]
    France election 2024: Leftwing alliance wins most seats, deadlock looms (The Guardian)
    61d 20h
    Source
  21. [4.2]
    France's leftist alliance wins elections, plans social welfare expansion (The Washington Post)
    61d 22h
    Source
  22. [5.1]
    Left-wing coalition wins France polls, riots erupt in Paris (India Today)
    61d 23h

  23. [4.7]
    Leftist alliance wins French election, deadlock ensues (CNN)
    62d 0h
    Source
  24. [4.5]
    French left wins, Le Pen setback in hung parliament (RTÉ News)
    62d 0h
    Source
  25. [3.2]
    France's far-right National Rally barred from power (The Straits Times)
    62d 0h
    Source
  26. [4.8]
    Leftwing alliance leads in French election, RN falls to third (The Guardian)
    62d 3h
    Source
  27. [4.7]
    France election 2024: NFP leads, Macron's party second (CNN)
    62d 3h
    Source
  28. [4.8]
    Leftist coalition leads in France's snap parliamentary election (ABC News)
    62d 5h
    Source
  29. [3.9]
    Far-right National Rally beaten by coalition in French election (The Independent)
    62d 6h
    Source
  30. [4.6]
    Left leads in French election, potential hung parliament (POLITICO Europe)
    62d 7h
    Source
  31. [3.9]
    Leftist alliance leads French election, no absolute majority (GMA News Online)
    62d 7h
    Source
  32. [4.4]
    High turnout in French run-off election, far-right party leads (Financial Times)
    62d 9h
    Source
  33. [6.1]
    France elections 2024: Historic runoff polls underway, pivotal outcome (The Associated Press)
    62d 13h

  34. [4.8]
    France legislative election 2024: Macron's last chance against far right (POLITICO Europe)
    62d 15h
    Source
  35. [5.3]
    French election results start at 8 p.m. with 577 constituencies (POLITICO Europe)
    62d 16h

  36. [5.5]
    Left-wing and centrist parties unite to block far-right in France (ABC News)
    63d 5h

  37. [3.9]
    France prepares for key election, Le Pen's party gains traction (TheJournal.ie)
    63d 8h
    Source
  38. [3.9]
    France's far-right support stronger in rural areas due to media (The Guardian)
    63d 12h
    Source
  39. [3.5]
    France's far-right Bardella aims to target migrants if elected (The Washington Post)
    63d 15h
    Source
  40. [4.7]
    Rise of far-right in French politics sparks polarization concerns (CNBC)
    63d 17h
    Source
  41. [3.4]
    Over 50 assaults on candidates before French elections (CNN)
    64d 3h
    Source
  42. [4.0]
    French PM urges calm after assaults before second round vote (The Guardian)
    64d 7h
    Source
  43. [4.3]
    Fears rise over election violence in France; lawmakers attacked (CNN)
    65d 4h
    Source
  44. [4.6]
    France deploys 30,000 police amid election violence fears (The Guardian)
    65d 11h
    Source
  45. [4.7]
    French market shoppers face high-stakes election amid far-right threat (The Guardian)
    65d 20h
    Source
  46. [4.8]
    Far-right to fall short in French parliament, hung parliament predicted (Financial Times)
    66d 5h
    Source
  47. [4.5]
    French PM optimistic on preventing far-right majority in parliament (The Guardian)
    66d 8h
    Source
  48. [4.3]
    French left, Macron aim to block far-right win in election (RTÉ News)
    67d 17h
    Source
  49. [5.0]
    Le Pen's party leads in French polls, rivals unite against far-right (DAWN.com)
    67d 21h

  50. [5.0]
    Far-right party gains ground in French elections, Macron's position weakened (CNN)
    68d 9h

  51. [3.7]
    French stocks and euro rise on election results, far-right leads (CNN)
    68d 9h
    Source
  52. [4.7]
    Donald Tusk warns of 'great danger' in rise of far-right (TheJournal.ie)
    68d 12h
    Source
  53. [3.2]
    French market rises on hopes of Le Pen defeat (The Guardian)
    68d 12h
    Source
  54. [5.5]
    Far-right leads in French elections, runoff on July 7 (The Associated Press)
    68d 13h

  55. [5.5]
    Far-right alliance leads in France election, tactical voting urged (The Guardian)
    68d 19h

  56. [4.6]
    Marine Le Pen's National Rally wins first round of French elections (ABC News)
    68d 19h
    Source
  57. [5.4]
    French left and Macron race to counter Le Pen win (Financial Times)
    68d 20h

  58. [4.5]
    Le Pen leads in French elections, threatening far-right government (POLITICO Europe)
    68d 20h
    Source
  59. [5.7]
    French far right leads in snap election; BlackRock acquires Preqin (Financial Times)
    68d 21h

  60. [5.5]
    France's snap election: National Rally leads, Macron's future uncertain (ABC News)
    68d 22h

  61. [5.1]
    Fears rise over far-right win in France, amid attacks (The Guardian)
    68d 23h

  62. [3.9]
    Macron's centrist alliance trails far-right and far-left in French election (POLITICO Europe)
    69d 0h
    Source
  63. [4.5]
    Macron's party faces third place in French elections (Sydney Morning Herald)
    69d 2h
    Source
  64. [2.1]
    Macron's gamble to defeat populism in France fails (Daily Mail)
    69d 2h
    Source
  65. [5.0]
    Far-right wins historic 34% in French elections (EURACTIV)
    69d 3h

  66. [5.7]
    French election exit polls: Le Pen's far-right party leads (ABC News)
    69d 4h

  67. [5.5]
    Far-right leads France's election, Macron's party in third (CNN)
    69d 5h

  68. [4.0]
    French exit polls show National Rally leading in first round (CNBC)
    69d 6h
    Source
  69. [4.8]
    France election: Far-right leads, Macron's centrist rule at risk (The Washington Post)
    69d 7h
    Source
  70. [5.1]
    France's high-turnout snap elections could shift political landscape (CNN)
    69d 8h

  71. [5.0]
    France election: Marine Le Pen's National Rally leads polls (The Guardian)
    69d 8h

  72. [4.9]
    Far right could win power in France's legislative elections (POLITICO Europe)
    69d 15h
    Source
  73. [4.4]
    French voters participate in snap parliamentary election on June 30 (CNBC)
    69d 18h
    Source
  74. [6.2]
    France holds crucial election; impact on markets, Ukraine, military (The Associated Press)
    69d 20h

  75. [5.0]
    France's high-stakes snap parliamentary election favors National Rally (The Guardian)
    69d 20h

  76. [4.5]
    Far-right challenges Macron in French election amid chaos and uncertainty (The Guardian)
    70d 7h
    Source
  77. [4.4]
    Overseas French territories vote in high-stakes election (RTÉ News)
    70d 10h
    Source
  78. [5.6]
    France faces snap elections with uncertain outcomes and potential shifts (The Associated Press)
    70d 13h

  79. [3.8]
    France's election could impact European stocks: Citi (CNBC)
    71d 7h
    Source
  80. [4.1]
    French stocks and bonds decline before election, Cac 40 down (Financial Times)
    71d 11h
    Source
  81. [3.9]
    Le Pen surges as Macron's missteps aid far-right normalization (Vox.com)
    71d 12h
    Source
  82. [5.6]
    Macronism faces challenges as Le Pen's party gains ground (Financial Times)
    71d 19h

  83. [5.2]
    Far-right's chance in French elections, despite positive indicators (Financial Times)
    72d 14h

  84. [4.6]
    France bans far-right and radical Islamic groups before elections (CTV News)
    73d 11h
    Source
  85. [4.7]
    Macron's rightward shift backfires, boosts Le Pen's far-right party (The Guardian)
    74d 19h
    Source
  86. [4.8]
    Macron warns of civil war if far left or right wins (The Guardian)
    75d 0h
    Source
  87. [5.4]
    Far-right National Rally aims to govern France with anti-immigration policies (The Guardian)
    75d 2h

  88. [5.5]
    France's fiscal policies could spark EU crisis (Financial Times)
    75d 13h

  89. [4.1]
    Scholz concerned about far-right win in French election (POLITICO Europe)
    76d 4h
    Source
  90. [3.6]
    French trust RN on economy; Macron's reputation suffers (Financial Times)
    76d 15h
    Source
  91. [4.0]
    Macron's centrist majority hopes face setback with left alliance (TheJournal.ie)
    77d 0h
    Source
  92. [4.4]
    Macron's centrist alliance gains ground in polls before snap vote (Financial Times)
    78d 13h
    Source
  93. [2.7]
    Far-right leader demands absolute majority for PM candidacy (The Guardian)
    80d 6h
    Source
  94. [4.5]
    Macron's snap election gamble risks far-right government in France (The Guardian)
    80d 12h
    Source
  95. [2.6]
    French far right demands absolute majority for governance (POLITICO Europe)
    81d 15h
    Source
  96. [4.0]
    Le Pen's far-right leads in French polls, leftist alliance second (Moneycontrol)
    81d 23h
    Source
  97. [2.9]
    France's centrists in disarray, struggle to find Macron successor (POLITICO Europe)
    82d 4h
    Source
  98. [3.9]
    Left poses threat to Macron's coalition in French elections (POLITICO Europe)
    82d 9h
    Source
  99. [2.9]
    Le Pen won't seek Macron's resignation if far right wins (POLITICO Europe)
    83d 9h
    Source
  100. [4.5]
    Sarkozy warns Macron's snap elections could cause chaos in France (The Guardian)
    83d 12h
    Source
  101. [4.6]
    Protests against far-right party ahead of French elections (ABC News)
    83d 18h
    Source
  102. [4.2]
    François Hollande to run for parliament against far right (The Guardian)
    83d 18h
    Source
  103. [4.7]
    French protesters oppose far-right ahead of snap elections (The Washington Post)
    84d 5h
    Source
  104. [4.6]
    French protesters rally against far-right National Rally party (The Associated Press)
    84d 9h
    Source
  105. [4.5]
    France sees rise of far-right, led by Marine Le Pen (Financial Times)
    85d 6h
    Source
  106. [4.1]
    Leftist alliance in France aims to stop far-right in elections (The Associated Press)
    85d 8h
    Source
  107. [2.7]
    French political parties in chaos ahead of snap elections (Daily Mail)
    85d 13h
    Source
  108. [4.3]
    French leftwing parties unite as "Popular Front" for snap election (The Guardian)
    85d 16h
    Source
  109. [5.1]
    Macron's party faces wipeout in snap elections due to left unity (Financial Times)
    85d 20h

  110. [4.8]
    French snap election: RN could gain majority, Macron faces challenges (The Guardian)
    85d 21h
    Source
  111. [5.3]
    Europe's right-wing populists challenge centre-right establishment, pose threat (The Australian Financial Review)
    85d 23h

  112. [4.2]
    Macron's snap election risks political chaos in France (Financial Times)
    86d 10h
    Source
  113. [3.1]
    Macron's snap election compared to Brexit risk (POLITICO Europe)
    86d 20h
    Source
  114. [1.0]
    European markets react to Fed, inflation data, expected to open lower (CNBC)
    86d 20h
    Source
  115. [2.5]
    Les Républicains leader Ciotti defies revolt over Le Pen alliance (The Guardian)
    87d 9h
    Source
  116. [2.2]
    French conservative party removes leader for far-right alliance (POLITICO Europe)
    87d 9h
    Source
  117. [4.3]
    Macron urges unity against extremism, calls for snap elections (Financial Times)
    87d 11h
    Source
  118. [2.8]
    Macron addresses far-right win, calls for snap election (The Guardian)
    87d 16h
    Source
  119. [1.9]
    Emmanuel Macron aims to win French snap election (The Guardian)
    88d 6h
    Source
  120. [2.5]
    France's conservative leader calls for alliance with far right (The New York Times)
    88d 10h
    Source
  121. [1.9]
    Macron won't resign, vows to fight far-right in French election (POLITICO Europe)
    88d 13h
    Source
  122. [3.6]
    French left forms Popular Front to contest snap elections (Financial Times)
    88d 14h
    Source
  123. [2.8]
    Far-right leaders hint at election pact with Les Républicains (The Guardian)
    88d 14h
    Source
  124. [2.9]
    French politicians form alliances before snap election; far right ready (The Guardian)
    88d 15h
    Source
  125. [3.7]
    Europe shifts Right, abandons green policy for immigration concerns (The Telegraph)
    89d 1h
    Source
  126. [2.9]
    EU elections 2024: Far-right gains in key countries tempered (The Guardian)
    89d 10h
    Source
  127. [3.4]
    Macron calls snap French election after Le Pen's EU win (Financial Times)
    89d 11h
    Source
  128. [3.2]
    Rise of far-right in European elections 2024 (RTE.ie)
    89d 13h
    Source
  129. [3.6]
    Far-right gains in EU elections shock traditional powers. Macron calls snap polls (The Globe and Mail)
    89d 14h
    Source
  130. [2.0]
    Ursula von der Leyen faces challenges securing second term (Financial Times)
    89d 15h
    Source
  131. [3.2]
    Far-right gains in EU election, France calls snap vote (RTE.ie)
    89d 19h
    Source
  132. [3.6]
    EU elections 2024: Far-right surge triggers French snap elections (The Guardian)
    89d 20h
    Source
  133. [4.3]
    Macron dissolves French parliament, calls snap election after EU defeat (The Associated Press)
    89d 21h
    Source
  134. [3.1]
    Far-right gains in EU elections, Macron loses, Greens setback (RTE.ie)
    89d 21h
    Source
  135. [2.9]
    European markets react to surge for right-wing parties in EU election (CNBC)
    89d 21h
    Source
  136. [2.0]
    Winners: Ursula von der Leyen, Giorgia Meloni, EPP (POLITICO Europe)
    89d 21h
    Source
  137. [3.9]
    Macron dissolves parliament, snap elections called due to far-right surge (India Today)
    89d 22h
    Source
  138. [1.2]
    German far right gains, conservatives lead in European election (The Associated Press)
    90d 0h
    Source
  139. [3.4]
    Macron calls snap election due to far-right gains in EU (The Independent)
    90d 1h
    Source
  140. [2.9]
    Far-right gains in EU elections, but pro-European center holds (The Guardian)
    90d 1h
    Source
  141. [2.6]
    EU vote humiliates Scholz's German coalition, survival in doubt (POLITICO Europe)
    90d 1h
    Source
  142. [3.8]
    Macron to dissolve parliament, call new elections after defeat (Hindustan Times)
    90d 4h
    Source
  143. [3.7]
    Macron dissolves French parliament, calls snap election due to far-right gains (The Guardian)
    90d 4h
    Source
  144. [3.6]
    Far-right gains in EU Parliament; Macron calls snap elections (The Washington Post)
    90d 4h
    Source
  145. [3.1]
    Far-right gains in EU elections impact Macron and Scholz (Sydney Morning Herald)
    90d 4h
    Source
  146. [3.5]
    Macron to dissolve French parliament after far-right victory (The Guardian)
    90d 5h
    Source
  147. [3.2]
    European Parliament shifts rightward with nationalist gains, impacting policies (DAWN.com)
    90d 5h
    Source
  148. [2.7]
    Macron calls snap election after EU vote defeat (The Globe and Mail)
    90d 5h
    Source
  149. [2.6]
    Macron calls snap election after far-right gains in EU vote (ABC News)
    90d 5h
    Source
  150. [3.9]
    Macron calls snap election after European vote defeat (RTE.ie)
    90d 6h
    Source
  151. [3.3]
    French far right dominates EU election, surpassing Macron's party (POLITICO Europe)
    90d 6h
    Source
  152. [2.4]
    Le Pen's party defeats Macron in European elections (The Telegraph)
    90d 6h
    Source
  153. [3.2]
    Conservatives lead in Germany, far-right popular in Austria (TheJournal.ie)
    90d 7h
    Source
  154. [3.0]
    German conservatives lead EU election, AfD second in projection (POLITICO Europe)
    90d 7h
    Source
  155. [3.5]
    European elections see high turnout, far-right party gains expected (The Guardian)
    90d 11h
    Source
  156. [3.7]
    European Parliament shifting right, boosting Eurosceptic nationalists (RTE.ie)
    90d 22h
    Source
  157. [1.3]
    European Parliament political supergroups: EPP, S&D, Renew Europe, ECR, ID (The Guardian)
    92d 9h
    Source
  158. [1.8]
    Dutch left leads in European elections over far-right PVV (The Guardian)
    92d 15h
    Source
  159. [1.7]
    Socialists-Greens lead in Netherlands EU election exit poll (EURACTIV)
    93d 3h
    Source
  160. [1.8]
    Far-right Wilders gains 7 seats in EU Parliament (POLITICO Europe)
    93d 4h
    Source
  161. [3.2]
    Populist wave surges in Europe ahead of EU election (POLITICO Europe)
    93d 7h
    Source
  162. [3.7]
    Netherlands starts EU elections, hard-right parties expected to gain (The Associated Press)
    93d 15h
    Source
  163. [2.9]
    Dutch voters start EU elections, far-right parties expected to gain (RTE.ie)
    93d 17h
    Source
  164. [2.7]
    Dutch far-right PVV party may gain 8 European Parliament seats (The Guardian)
    93d 20h
    Source
  165. [1.1]
    ECB expected to cut borrowing costs, European stocks rise (CNBC)
    93d 20h
    Source
  166. [3.8]
    Europe faces far-right surge akin to Trump's impact (POLITICO Europe)
    94d 5h
    Source
  167. [1.2]
    European stocks set to open higher, ECB decision in focus (CNBC)
    94d 19h
    Source
  168. [5.4]
    EU to elect most right-wing parliament amid rising euroskepticism (CNBC)
    95d 17h

  169. [1.3]
    European markets set to open mixed, ECB may cut rates (CNBC)
    95d 20h
    Source
  170. [2.4]
    EU-wide polls may underestimate potential shift in EU politics (Gript)
    98d 2h
    Source