Historian Allan Lichtman predicts Kamala Harris will win against Donald Trump

Allan Lichtman, a historian known for his accurate election predictions, has reaffirmed his choice for Vice President Kamala Harris to win against former President Donald Trump. He made this prediction in September, despite current polling showing a tight race. Lichtman uses a system of 13 "keys" to assess the election outcome. He states that eight keys favor Harris, while three favor Trump. Key factors include the Democrats' performance in the 2022 midterms and Harris's support within the party. Lichtman notes that the economy is performing well and there are no significant scandals involving President Biden. However, he considers Harris's charisma a weakness, while Trump appeals strongly to his base.