Historian predicts Kamala Harris will win 2024 presidential election

Historian Allan Lichtman, known for his accurate election predictions, has announced that he believes Vice President Kamala Harris will win the 2024 presidential election. He made this prediction on his YouTube channel, reaffirming a previous statement from September. Lichtman uses a system of 13 true-or-false questions to assess election outcomes. Currently, eight keys favor Harris, while three favor Donald Trump. Two keys are undecided, reflecting foreign policy issues. Despite his track record, Lichtman has faced criticism for his methods. Pollster Nate Silver has called his keys "totally arbitrary." Lichtman responded, defending his approach and emphasizing the historical basis of his predictions.