Nate Silver updates election model showing Kamala Harris gaining ground in key states

Nate Silver's latest model shows Vice President Kamala Harris gaining support in key swing states Michigan and Wisconsin, but still projects a victory for former President Donald Trump. Harris leads in Michigan by 1.2 points and in Wisconsin by 0.8 points. In Pennsylvania, Trump leads Harris by 0.6 points. Silver's overall forecast predicts Trump will win the election with 53.8 percent of the vote compared to Harris' 48.8 percent. Recent Marist polls indicate a close race, with Harris ahead by 3 points in Michigan and 2 points in both Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, though these leads fall within the polls' margins of error.