New York counties forecast significant temperature increases

New York is expected to experience warmer temperatures over the next 20 years. A recent analysis predicts that average annual temperatures will rise significantly across the state. The report looks at county-by-county temperature changes from 2020 to 2040. Counties north of the mid-Hudson Valley, like the Southern Tier, will likely see the biggest increases in temperature. In contrast, areas closer to New York City may only experience minor warming. Overall, New York is expected to avoid the extreme heat that might be felt in the Southeast. While parts of Florida could see many days over 90 degrees, New York is expected to have few such days by 2040. For instance, Broome and Tioga Counties are projected to increase by about 2.82 degrees, with up to three days or more above 90 degrees. Chenango County is also expected to see a similar increase, while Delaware County may see about 2.78 degrees of warming, with at least one day over 90 degrees. The report is based on a climate model that assumes future population and economic growth will follow past trends, along with some emissions reductions due to climate policies. This model is referred to as a "middle of the road" scenario. Heat-related health risks are growing as a result of these temperature increases. Children and older adults are particularly vulnerable to health complications from extreme heat. In response to this, cooling centers have been established in places like Broome County to help those in need during especially hot weather.