Polls again underestimate Trump support in US presidential election

inquirer.net

Opinion polls once again underestimated Donald Trump's support in the recent U.S. presidential election. Polls predicted a close race with Kamala Harris, but Trump won key battleground states by margins of 1 to 3 percentage points. Trump's support surged across various demographics, with over 90% of U.S. counties voting for him in higher numbers than in 2020. Pollsters struggled to capture the full extent of his appeal, particularly among Hispanic and rural voters. Despite some analysts suggesting the polls were not a major failure, they did not accurately reflect Trump's growth in support. Disparities in response rates between different voter groups contributed to the inaccuracies in polling predictions.


With a significance score of 3.9, this news ranks in the top 11% of today's 18680 analyzed articles.

Get summaries of news with significance over 5.5 (usually ~10 stories per week). Read by 9000 minimalists.