Polls show tight race as experts weigh in on US presidential election outcome

With less than a week until the 2024 U.S. presidential election, polls show a very close race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. National surveys indicate the outcome is uncertain, with swing states also showing tight margins. Five election forecasters offer differing predictions. Historian Allan Lichtman predicts Harris will win, while statistician Nate Silver suggests the race is a toss-up. Economist Christophe Barraud leans toward a Trump victory, and data scientist Thomas Miller's model has shifted to favor Trump recently. Political scientist Larry Sabato's site shows no clear winner, projecting 226 Electoral College votes for Harris and 219 for Trump, with 93 votes still considered toss-ups. A total of 270 votes is needed to win the presidency.