Pollster Ann Selzer reflects on Iowa poll that misjudged Trump's victory

Ann Selzer's Iowa poll incorrectly showed Kamala Harris with a three-point lead before the election. Instead, Donald Trump won the state by over 10 percent, highlighting a significant gap between polling predictions and actual results. Selzer noted that her polling methods had previously captured the mood of voters in 2016 and 2020. She suggested that her poll might have motivated Republican voters who felt overconfident about their chances. Many other polls also failed to predict Trump's success, with some analysts pointing to traditional polling methods that did not accurately reach Trump's supporters. This has sparked discussions among pollsters about the effectiveness of their approaches.