Pollsters underestimate Trump support again in 2024 election results

Pollsters underestimated Donald Trump's support again in the 2024 election, marking the third consecutive time they miscalculated his backing. Predictions suggested a close race with Kamala Harris, but Trump won key battleground states by larger margins than expected. In several states, Trump outperformed polling averages. For example, he led by two points in Pennsylvania and three points in North Carolina, despite polls predicting narrower margins. Pollsters struggled to account for a segment of Trump's supporters who do not participate in surveys. The polling inaccuracies were attributed to a growing disparity in response rates between different voter demographics. Polls failed to capture Trump's increased support among Hispanic and rural voters, leading to significant discrepancies in projected outcomes.