Trump remains favorite for 2028 presidential election

newsweek.com

Donald Trump is a top contender for the 2028 presidential election, despite being constitutionally barred from running for a third term. A major bookmaker, William Hill, currently gives him 5/1 odds, placing him second after Vice President JD Vance. However, experts believe the idea of amending the Constitution to allow Trump to run again is unlikely. In November, Trump won a second term as president, defeating former Vice President Kamala Harris. Since then, he and some of his supporters have suggested he might run again in 2028. This includes comments from his former chief strategist, Steve Bannon. The 22nd Amendment, which limits presidents to two terms, would need to be repealed for Trump to run again. This amendment has been in place since 1951. To alter it, Congress would need a two-thirds majority in both houses or two-thirds of state legislatures to call for a constitutional convention. Currently, Republicans lack this support. Trump's odds of successfully repealing the 22nd Amendment are quoted at 5/2. Some of his supporters believe there might be a path to do so, although this view is not widely accepted. Experts emphasize that such a repeal would require significant political maneuvering and support from Democrats, which seems unlikely at this time. Political analysts suggest that Trump's considerations of a third term are more about maintaining his influence within the GOP than a legitimate plan to change the Constitution. It is noted that repealing the 22nd Amendment could also set the stage for other former presidents to run again, raising concerns among Republicans. For any realistic chance of change, Republicans must make significant gains in the 2026 midterm elections or convince many Democrats to back the amendment.


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