Trump wins election with 295 Electoral College votes defying forecasts for Harris

Donald Trump won the election with 295 Electoral College votes, while Kamala Harris received 226. This outcome contrasts sharply with predictions from major forecasters, including Nate Silver, who had given Harris a slight edge before the election. Silver's final forecast indicated a close race, with Harris having a 50 percent chance of winning compared to Trump's 49.6 percent. However, Trump secured key swing states, leading to his popular vote victory, which was unexpected given previous forecasts. Polls have historically struggled to accurately predict election outcomes. In past elections, including 2016 and 2020, forecasts often missed the final vote margins, raising questions about polling accuracy and voter behavior.